Tribo perdida na Galáxia

Um paper um pouco antigo mais interessante, por Ken D. Olum:

Conflict between anthropic reasoning and observation

Authors: Ken D. Olum

(Submitted on 19 Mar 2003 (v1), last revised 4 Feb 2004 (this version, v2))
Abstract: Anthropic reasoning often begins with the premise that we should expect to find ourselves typical among all intelligent observers. However, in the infinite universe predicted by inflation, there are some civilizations which have spread across their galaxies and contain huge numbers of individuals. Unless the proportion of such large civilizations is unreasonably tiny, most observers belong to them. Thus anthropic reasoning predicts that we should find ourselves in such a large civilization, while in fact we do not. There must be an important flaw in our understanding of the structure of the universe and the range of development of civilizations, or in the process of anthropic reasoning.
Comments:
7 pages, RevTeX. v2: New "lost colony" section. Corresponds to published version
Subjects:
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology (gr-qc);

Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph)
Journal reference: Analysis 64 (2004),1
Cite as: arXiv:gr-qc/0303070v2