Bayesian Inference from Scratch
Jakub Mielczarek, Marek Szydlowski, Pawel Tambor
(Submitted on 26 Jan 2009)
We study epistemological and philosophical aspects of the Bayesian approach in different areas of science. The basic intuition as well as pedagogical introduction to the Bayesian framework is given for a further discussion concerning Bayesian inference in physics. We claim Bayesian inference to be susceptible to some epistemic limitations. We also point out paradoxes of confirmation, like Goodman's paradox, appearing in Bayesian Theory of Confirmation in the context of cosmological applications.
Comments: RevTeX4, 21 pages, 8 figures
Subjects: Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an); History of Physics (physics.hist-ph); Popular Physics (physics.pop-ph)
Cite as: arXiv:0901.4075v1 [physics.data-an]